One of the biggest challenges non-emergency medical transportation (NEMT) providers face is determining how many drivers and vehicles they need to keep operations smooth and customers satisfied.
Too few, and you risk delays and missed appointments. Too many, and you could be left paying for underutilized assets.
So, how do you figure out the sweet spot? This article will explore that question.
Assessing Your Service Area
Before determining the number of NEMT drivers and vehicles your business needs, you must understand the area you’re serving.
It’s not just about the region’s size—it’s about the people, the places, and the logistics. Population density and geographic coverage are two factors that could significantly shape your decision and demand careful evaluation.
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Demand is concentrated in densely populated urban centers, and distances between pick-ups and drop-offs are often relatively short.
This proximity means fewer vehicles can efficiently complete more trips. Urban areas often thrive on a balance of fewer vehicles, shorter distances, and higher turnover.
However, the opposite is true for rural or suburban areas.
Vast, sprawling regions with fewer people per square mile lead to longer trips, more driving time, and less efficient vehicle utilization. Covering more ground means you’ll need more vehicles, as each trip consumes more time.
Fewer clients, longer distances, larger fleets—that’s the rural reality.
Key Locations
The proximity of critical facilities—hospitals, dialysis centers, rehabilitation clinics—can drive demand significantly.
Demand surges in areas where these institutions are clustered, requiring more frequent trips.
The operational load shifts in more isolated areas, where facilities are scattered. Every minute spent understanding where these high-demand locations are can transform the efficiency of your fleet, ensuring you are neither overburdened nor underprepared.
Analyzing Your Client Demographics
To effectively manage your NEMT operations, a deep understanding of your client base is essential.
Every client group has different requirements—some straightforward, others quite complex—that ripple through your entire scheduling and fleet management strategy.
By analyzing these client demographics, you can forecast the volume of trips, their frequency, length, and critical timing.
Client Needs and Frequency of Trips
Each client presents a different challenge to predict.
For example, older adults may require regular transportation to ongoing medical appointments. These trips are often consistent, weekly or bi-weekly, creating a stable demand pattern.
Clients with disabilities may require specially equipped vehicles, which adds complexity. Their trips may take longer, involve more stops, or require highly trained drivers.
Then there are those who need frequent dialysis—often multiple trips per week. The trip frequency for such patients is predictable, but their needs are intensive, creating a steady demand.
Also read: Strategies for Keeping Your Best NEMT Drivers in a Competitive Market
Peak Hours and Seasonal Variations
Time is another variable that can disrupt your carefully constructed schedule.
The clustering of medical appointments during peak hours—early mornings and late afternoons—will inevitably strain your fleet.
Clients with tight schedules, rushed hospital visits, and last-minute cancellations add another layer of unpredictability. Add to this the surge that accompanies flu season or the disruptions caused by inclement weather, and it becomes clear that peak periods and seasonal shifts are not to be underestimated.
You need to anticipate these changes—long before they appear on the calendar—and plan for sudden increases in demand to ensure you’re adequately prepared.
Trip Duration and Turnaround Time
How long each trip takes and how quickly you can cycle through pickups and drop-offs are critical factors in maximizing your fleet’s potential.
Estimating Average Trip Duration
The average length of a trip is not a static number.
Urban trips might be brief—quick drop-offs at nearby clinics or pharmacies—allowing your drivers to manage multiple trips rapidly.
However, this changes in rural regions, where distances are longer and time on the road can stretch from minutes into hours. Suddenly, one vehicle may only be able to complete a handful of daily trips.
Pinning down the average trip duration, with all its variables, allows you to see exactly how many trips each vehicle can handle within a shift. More importantly, it helps you understand whether your current fleet size is sufficient—or it’s time to expand.
Turnaround Time Between Trips
Turnaround time is the hidden cost that can cripple efficiency.
Every minute between dropping off one client and picking up the next adds up. Whether it’s caused by traffic, inefficient routing, or delayed pickups, those minutes quickly translate into hours of lost productivity.
Reducing turnaround time requires a proactive approach: optimizing schedules, employing real-time route adjustments, and ensuring that vehicles are in constant motion, not sitting idle. By tightening this window, you increase the number of daily trips each vehicle can manage, trimming the fat off your operations and eliminating the need for an oversized fleet.
Calculating Vehicle Needs
Determining how many vehicles your NEMT business requires is critical to operational efficiency.
To do this effectively, you must consider both the volume of trips your business handles and the capacity of your vehicles. Let’s explore how these factors influence the decision-making process.
Trip Volume Analysis
The first step in calculating vehicle needs is analyzing trip volume.
This involves tracking the daily, weekly, or monthly trips your business completes. Breaking down trip data into specific time frames provides a clear picture of demand patterns. By understanding how many trips are typically required during peak hours versus slower periods, you can better estimate the number of vehicles needed.
For example, suppose you consistently manage 100 trips daily, and each vehicle can handle an average of 10 trips daily. In that case, simple math tells you ten vehicles are necessary to meet demand without overwhelming your fleet.
However, trip volume can fluctuate based on weather, holidays, or changes in healthcare facility schedules. Consistently monitoring and adjusting your vehicle count based on real-time data ensures your business is neither under-resourced nor stretched too thin, maintaining operational balance.
Vehicle Capacity
Beyond trip volume, the type of vehicles in your fleet matters.
Different vehicles have varying capacities, directly impacting the number of trips they can complete. For example, a standard van may accommodate multiple ambulatory clients, while a wheelchair-accessible van may only serve one or two clients simultaneously, depending on their needs.
Choosing vehicles with the right capacity is crucial to optimizing your fleet’s efficiency. If your client base includes many individuals who require wheelchair-accessible transport, having a fleet composed mainly of standard vehicles would result in logistical challenges.
In contrast, if most of your clients are ambulatory, overinvesting in specialized vehicles could lead to inefficiencies. Selecting the appropriate mix of vehicles ensures you can meet your client’s needs without sacrificing capacity or flexibility.
Determining Driver Requirements
Your vehicles are only as effective as the drivers behind the wheel.
Having the right number of NEMT drivers and structuring their schedules is key to maintaining smooth operations and fulfilling trip requests.
Driver-to-Vehicle Ratio
A critical aspect of fleet management is maintaining an appropriate driver-to-vehicle ratio.
Too few drivers can lead to delays, missed appointments, and a strained workforce. On the other hand, too many drivers relative to your vehicles can result in underutilization and unnecessary payroll expenses. You must consider your trip volume and vehicle availability to calculate the ideal ratio.
If, for example, your fleet consists of 15 vehicles and you require each vehicle to be on the road during peak hours, you’ll need at least 15 drivers available for those shifts. However, due to the complexities of scheduling, traffic delays, and potential absenteeism, it’s often wise to have extra drivers on standby to ensure uninterrupted service.
This strategy minimizes downtime and keeps your operations running efficiently, even during unpredictable periods.
Full-Time vs. Part-Time Drivers
Demand fluctuates in the NEMT industry, and as such, you must evaluate whether you need a core team of full-time drivers or a flexible mix of part-time staff.
Full-time NEMT drivers provide consistency, allowing you to maintain a dependable workforce, particularly during regular peak periods. However, relying solely on full-time staff could result in unnecessary labor costs during slower periods.
Conversely, part-time drivers offer flexibility. They can be scheduled to work during peak demand times without the long-term commitment or cost associated with full-time employees. Balancing full-time and part-time drivers based on demand fluctuations ensures that you maintain adequate staffing without inflating operational costs.
Driver Availability and Scheduling
Effective driver scheduling is critical for maintaining operational efficiency.
Peak hours—often corresponding with early morning medical appointments or afternoon pickups—require careful planning to ensure enough drivers are available during these high-demand periods.
Equally important is managing driver rest times, which is not only a legal requirement but also a practical measure to ensure safety and prevent burnout.
Maintaining a backup pool of drivers can help mitigate the risk of absenteeism or unexpected demand surges. Real-time scheduling tools can optimize routes, reducing downtime between trips and ensuring that drivers are available when needed most. By fine-tuning your scheduling process, you ensure that each trip is handled efficiently, maintaining high service levels while controlling costs.
Also read: Understanding the Role of an NEMT Driver
Technology and Fleet Management Software
Managing a NEMT fleet requires advanced, data-driven tools to streamline operations and redefine resource allocation, scheduling, and optimization.
Optimizing Fleet Utilization
Every idle vehicle represents lost potential.
Fleet management software—like Tobi—eliminates that waste by ensuring that your NEMT drivers and vehicles always work at peak efficiency. These tools dynamically schedule trips, reroute vehicles in real time, and balance driver workloads—all while minimizing downtime.
For example, when one vehicle finishes a trip early, Tobi can seamlessly assign a new task, keeping your fleet in constant motion.
Real-Time Monitoring and Data Analysis
With real-time GPS tracking and data analytics, NEMT software offers a live, detailed view of your fleet’s movements.
Every vehicle, every mile, and every stop is thoroughly tracked and logged. This level of insight empowers dispatchers to make immediate, informed decisions, like rerouting drivers to avoid traffic or assigning last-minute pickups. Data analytics reveal long-term patterns in driver performance, vehicle usage, and trip frequency, arming you with actionable intelligence to fine-tune your operations.
Budget Considerations
Running a fleet is also about managing costs that, if left unchecked, can erode profitability.
The financial obligations tied to fleet operations are complex, ranging from the routine to the unexpected. They require a careful balance to ensure your business remains profitable.
Cost of Maintaining Vehicles
Vehicles are high-maintenance assets.
Fuel prices fluctuate, repairs are unavoidable, and insurance premiums add more financial commitment, especially as your fleet grows. Licensing and registration, although predictable, still represent a notable ongoing cost.
Keeping vehicles in peak condition requires diligence but also pays dividends—reducing the likelihood of costly breakdowns and ensuring long-term operational longevity.
Driver Compensation and Benefits
Drivers also represent one of your most significant expenses.
Their wages, benefits, and training costs all add up quickly. Competitive pay ensures you attract skilled, reliable employees, but it must be balanced against the need to control labor costs.
Additional training is required for some drivers, especially those handling specialized tasks like transporting clients with mobility needs, further increasing expenses.
Striking the right balance here—paying drivers fairly while managing payroll costs—is essential to keeping your business competitive and financially stable.
Balancing Resources with Demand
Managing costs is about aligning them with demand.
During off-peak periods, scaling back operations—reducing the number of active vehicles or cutting driver hours—can help minimize unnecessary spending.
Conversely, ensuring you have enough vehicles and drivers available is crucial to maintaining service levels during high demand. Technology plays a vital role here, too. With NEMT software, you can monitor real-time demand, predict future trends, and adjust resources accordingly.
Scaling Your Fleet as Demand Grows
Scaling requires strategy. Adding vehicles or drivers too soon can lead to overextension, and waiting too long can mean missed opportunities.
When to Add More Drivers or Vehicles
Are your current vehicles booked solid, with no room to accommodate new clients?
Are delays becoming the norm because drivers are stretched too thin? Is client satisfaction declining as a result? These are clear indicators that it’s time to expand.
Adding more vehicles or hiring additional NEMT drivers is a proactive step toward sustaining growth and improving service quality. If your fleet is consistently running at total capacity or if breakdowns and overuse are becoming frequent, these red flags signal that your current resources are no longer sufficient to meet demand.
Leasing vs. Buying Vehicles
Once you’ve determined it’s time to expand, the next question is whether to lease or buy.
Leasing offers flexibility, with lower upfront costs and the ability to upgrade vehicles easily when needs change. For a business with fluctuating demand, this can be an attractive option.
However, leasing can become expensive over time, as you’ll never own the vehicle outright. On the other hand, buying involves higher initial costs but offers long-term savings. Once a vehicle is paid off, it’s yours, and those monthly payments disappear.
The decision ultimately depends on your long-term business strategy: leasing for flexibility or buying for ownership and lower long-term costs.
Also read: 5 Advantages to Renting Vans for Your NEMT Business
A Formula for Success
Finding the right balance of NEMT drivers and vehicles hinges on a comprehensive understanding of your service area, client demographics, and operational dynamics.
By carefully analyzing these factors, you can optimize your fleet to meet demand efficiently, ensuring timely and reliable transportation for those who need it most. With proactive planning, your NEMT business can thrive while providing essential services to your community.
Are you curious how Tobi can help you run your NEMT operations more efficiently? Request a demo for a free 30-day trial and experience how Tobi makes your business better at every turn.